As the Assam Assembly elections come closer, political parties have become very active. While leaders are seen fighting with words in public, a more important exercise is going on quietly. Almost all major parties are doing secret, constituency-wise surveys to understand the real ground situation.
Sources say the BJP, Congress and AGP are checking the popularity of sitting MLAs, local problems, strength of party workers and the mood of voters. Many parties are also taking help from private survey agencies. These reports are being taken very seriously and may decide who will get tickets.
Early survey reports suggest big changes ahead. Many sitting MLAs from both ruling and opposition parties may lose their tickets. Even a minister from Upper Assam is said to be on the list. In some areas, surveys show that MLAs have weak public contact and poor organisational support, which can hurt their chances.
The recent constituency delimitation has added more pressure. Several old constituencies have been removed and new ones created. This has changed voter combinations and political balance. MLAs are now unsure about where they will contest from, and parties are finding it difficult to choose the right candidates for the new areas.
Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma’s statement about giving priority to new faces and women candidates has increased tension within the BJP. At the same time, seat demands from AGP and other NDA partners have made seat sharing more complicated.
The opposition is also struggling. After Gaurav Gogoi took charge of the Assam Congress, dissatisfaction with some MLAs has grown. Talks of opposition unity have not moved forward because of ticket-related issues. Recent public arguments among opposition leaders show strong competition among ticket aspirants.
Political observers believe these secret surveys will play a key role in the 2026 elections. Parties want to give tickets only to candidates who have a strong chance of winning. Because of this, even experienced MLAs may be dropped.
In the coming months, many political surprises are expected. Before the real election battle begins, the biggest fight may happen inside the parties—over tickets and survival.
